Child of the Enlightenment

I will say it now: Hillary Clinton will easily win the Pennsylvania primary on 22 April. It might be a tough fight, but in the end she will win by double digits or nearily double digits.

She will carry most of the state with the exception of Philadelphia County. Obama also probably has a slight chance in Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Montgomery Counties. This is because western Pennsylvania is very much like eastern Ohio: blue collar, old, fairly unionized, and socially conservative. Obama will not play in this region. He will play in the affluent areas around Philadelphia and of course in Philadelphia County with its large African American population.

Also, Clinton has the party machine working for her with the Governor, Mayor of Philadelphia, State Party chair, and all of Democratic Party of PA working for her.